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PTA Market Weekly (Dec 6-10 2010)

2010-12-13
CCF Price
Spot   6-Dec 10-Dec Weekly Average Trend
PX FOB Korea 1264 1332.5 1303.8
CFR China/Taiwan 1279 1347.5 1318.8
PTA China domestic market    (Yuan/mt cash, ex-ship) 9260 9250 9236
Tawan origin ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 1165 1163 1162.2
Korea origin ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 1145 1143 1144.8
Contract   Sep Oct Nov Dec
PX Asia ($/mt CFR Asia) 950 1025 1220 1275
Sinopec (Yuan/mt, delivery) Offer 7600 8800 10200 10200
Settlement 7900 9600 10150 N/A
PTA Foreign producers ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 910 1020-1025 N/A N/A
Sinopec (Yuan/mt, delivery) Offer 7600 8400 10200 9900
Settlement 7700 8600 9900 N/A
Imports(kt) August 550.5 September 610.3 October 489.85
Operating rate (%)   Nov 3-Dec 10-Dec
PTA plant 90.5 99 93.5
Polyester plant 84.7 84 84
PTA Inventory PTA plant 0-4 days Polyester plant 10-25 days
Market Roundup
PTA spot market continued to be weak this week, but the moving range narrowed. In early week, the trading sentiment enhanced as crude oil rushed up and sales ratio of polyester products recovered during the weekend. The offers once moved up to 9400yuan/mt and the talked prices were at 9250-9300yuan/mt. In import market, Taiwan origin goods were offered at $1175-1180/mt, while the bids from polyester plants were at $1160/mt. The transactions were concluded at $1165/mt with higher at $1170/mt. Korea origin goods were traded at $1145-1148/mt, and the buyers were reluctant to take in goods at $1150/mt.

In midweek, crude oil fell slightly and the sales of polyester products weakened further. Meanwhile, the wait-and-see sentiment was enhanced before the Nov economic data release, so the trading sentiment weakened. The traded prices dropped to 9150-9200yuan/mt in China domestic market. In import market, Taiwan origin and Korea origin goods were down to $1160/mt and $1140-1145/mt.

At the end of the week, the trading sentiment revived as PTA futures and stock market firmed. After some Taiwan origin goods were traded higher at $1160-1165/mt, the transaction level increased to $1165/mt or above. But the traders were not urgent in selling at current prices. Korea origin goods were discussed at $1145/mt and several deals were done lower at $1140/mt. It was heard one deal of Thailand goods was concluded at $1130/mt.
Forecast
The market will keep consolidating in the short term.
 
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